The method

How RER evaluates risk

RER uses a clear, widely understood approach: describe the risk, score its likelihood and impact, decide how to respond, and keep it under review.

Risk score = Likelihood (1–5) × Impact (1–5) = 1–25
Scoring scales

Example definitions

Default scales you can adapt to fit your organisation. The important thing is that everyone uses the same ones.

Likelihood

1RareMay happen only in exceptional circumstances
2UnlikelyCould happen, but not expected
3PossibleMight well happen at some point
4LikelyWill probably happen in most circumstances
5Almost certainExpected to happen

Impact

1InsignificantNegligible effect, easily absorbed
2MinorSmall, short-lived disruption or cost
3ModerateNoticeable effect on services, finances or reputation
4MajorSerious harm to objectives, people or reputation
5SevereCritical effect, threatening the organisation's objectives
Score bands

What the colours mean

1–4

Low

Usually tolerated and reviewed periodically.

5–9

Medium

Managed with existing controls; keep under review.

10–14

High

Needs active treatment and a named owner.

15–25

Very high

Priority action, escalated to senior leaders.

Three scores per risk

Inherent, residual and target

Inherent

Before controls

How serious the risk would be if nothing were done about it.

Residual

After controls

Where the risk sits today, taking your current controls into account.

Target

Where you want it

The level you're aiming for, in line with your risk appetite.

A note on standards: RER uses the familiar language of widely recognised guidance, such as ISO 31000 and HM Treasury's Orange Book. That is not a claim of certification or endorsement — state any formal accreditation separately, and only if you hold it.